发言预测
预测演讲、美联储会议、财报发布会上「谁会说什么」的Kalshi独家市场。国情咨文演讲创下1060万美元交易量。
什么是提及市场？
"特朗普今天演讲中说"trillion"的概率为93%"
Kalshi独有的预测市场。在总统演讲、美联储会议、财报发布等现场事件中，预测特定词语或短语是否会被实际提到。SOTU演讲中录得1060万美元的交易量。
70%+
30-69%
<30%
特朗普总统 · 发言预测
What will Trump say this week?
40个词
trading
certain
Kamala
99%
longshot
Cuba / Cuban
23%
longshot
Golf / Golfer /
0%
certain
Barack Hussein O
99%
longshot
TDS / Trump Dera
24%
longshot
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
certain
Bibi / Netanyahu
99%
longshot
Ukraine
0%
certain
Autopen / Auto P
99%
longshot
Who are you with
29%
longshot
Prediction Marke
3%
longshot
Marijuana / Weed
4%
certain
Melania
99%
certain
Zohran / Mamdani
79%
longshot
UFO / UAP
4%
certain
Sleepy Joe
99%
certain
Stupid Question
99%
certain
Rigged Election
97%
High = almost certain ／ Low = high return if said
Kalshi →