发言预测
预测演讲、美联储会议、财报发布会上「谁会说什么」的Kalshi独家市场。国情咨文演讲创下1060万美元交易量。
什么是提及市场?
"特朗普今天演讲中说"trillion"的概率为93%"
Kalshi独有的预测市场。在总统演讲、美联储会议、财报发布等现场事件中,预测特定词语或短语是否会被实际提到。SOTU演讲中录得1060万美元的交易量。
70%+
30-69%
<30%
特朗普总统 · 发言预测
What will Trump say this week?
27个词
trading
certain
Autism
99%
longshot
Communist / Comm
21%
longshot
Golden Dome
5%
longshot
Barack Hussein O
0%
longshot
Mog / Mogged / M
0%
certain
TDS / Trump Dera
99%
certain
Crypto / Bitcoin
99%
longshot
Thug
0%
certain
Bibi / Netanyahu
99%
certain
Drill Baby Drill
99%
certain
Autopen / Auto P
99%
longshot
Who are you with
0%
certain
Nobel
99%
longshot
Marijuana / Weed
4%
longshot
Windmill
2%
certain
Melania
99%
certain
Newscum
99%
longshot
50,000
0%
High = almost certain / Low = high return if said
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