PROPHETv7

关于PROPHET

用中文传递预测市场集体智慧的媒体服务

01 — 关于本服务

PROPHET是一个实时传播全球最大预测市场Polymarket和Kalshi数据的多语言媒体服务。目的是让任何人都能跨越语言壁垒,解读全球集体智慧。本服务仅提供信息浏览和解说功能。

02 — 数据来源

POLYPolymarket

The world's largest crypto-based prediction market. Data fetched from the public Gamma API.

KALSKalshi

CFTC-regulated US prediction market. Sports = 84% of volume. Data from Trade API v2.

NEWSNewsAPI / NHK / CNA

Multilingual news fetched every 15 minutes. Claude AI matches news to prediction markets.

03 — 主要功能

Probability ChartPh1

Line charts showing 7d/30d probability trends on each market detail page, fetched from Polymarket CLOB API.

BUZZ ScorePh2

Proprietary attention metric combining volume (35%), liquidity (25%), contention (25%), and Poly vs Kalshi divergence (15%). Hover the badge to see breakdown.

OGP Auto-generationPh3

Share a market on X and a visual card with probability, title, and volume is auto-generated via next/og on Edge.

Related MarketsPh4

Up to 3 related markets shown in the right rail. Claude AI determines semantic relevance and auto-labels groups.

News x Odds MatchingNEW

News from NHK, Bloomberg, Reuters fetched every 15min. Claude AI auto-links to prediction markets.

Multilingual (JA / ZH / EN)

Market titles and AI articles auto-translated via DeepL and Claude API across 3 languages.

04 — 市场选择逻辑

Top markets are ranked by BUZZ Score, a proprietary metric combining data from both platforms.

BUZZ Score Formula
24h Volume (Poly + Kalshi)x 35%
Liquidity (Poly + Kalshi)x 25%
Contention (closer to 50% = higher)x 25%
Divergence bonus (Poly vs Kalshi gap)x 15%
Max 100. Polymarket 40 + Kalshi 10 = top 50 displayed

05 — 更新频率

Market dataEvery 15 min
News matchingEvery 15 min
AI articlesDaily at midnight
FX ratesHourly
Hit archiveManual

06 — 免责声明

This service displays data from Polymarket and Kalshi for informational purposes only. We do not facilitate or encourage trading. Please comply with local laws and platform terms before participating in prediction markets. Probabilities shown do not guarantee future outcomes.