Probability Movers

▲ Risers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

32% → 40%

▲ 8%

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

42% → 50%

▲ 8%

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

14% → 17%

▲ 2%

▼ Fallers

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

22% → 13%

▼ 8%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

18% → 12%

▼ 6%

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

7% → 3%

▼ 4%

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

9% → 6%

▼ 3%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

34% → 31%

▼ 3%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

10% → 8%

▼ 2%