Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about prediction markets, PROPHET, and BUZZ Score
Prediction Market Basics
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market is a market where people trade on the outcome of future events, creating collective probability estimates. Events like "Will Trump win the election?" are traded as probabilities from 0-100%. They are generally more accurate than polls because participants put real money at stake.
What is the difference between Polymarket and Kalshi?
Polymarket is a crypto-based decentralized prediction market using USDC, covering politics, geopolitics, sports, and crypto with over $10B in 2025 volume. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange using real dollars where sports make up 84% of volume, with unique "mention markets" predicting exact words in speeches.
About PROPHET
What is PROPHET?
PROPHET is a multilingual prediction market media service delivering real-time data from Polymarket and Kalshi in Japanese, English, and Chinese. We automatically link news to probability changes using AI.
What is the BUZZ Score?
BUZZ Score is PROPHET's proprietary attention metric (0-100): 24h volume (35%), liquidity (25%), contention (25%), and Poly vs Kalshi divergence bonus (15%). Higher scores = most actively watched markets.
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