POLY31d left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2%
Yes Prob.
No 98%Yes 2%
$585K
24h Volume
$385K
Liquidity
31d left
Until close
48
BUZZ
2%▼ -1% (7日)
Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔
AI Generated
01What is this market?
Bets on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25+ basis points at its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting.
02Why is it trending now?
With $527K in 24h volume and only 33 days to the April meeting, traders are pricing in near-zero chance of a hike as recession fears and tariff pressures dominate Fed outlook.
03What does 2% mean?
At 3%, markets see a rate hike as extremely unlikely — roughly a 1-in-33 chance the Fed tightens policy in April 2026.
04Price history
Probability has stayed very low, reflecting consistent market consensus that the Fed's next move is a cut, not a hike.
05Key takeaways
Watch April 29 FOMC statement. Any surprise inflation surge or policy shift could spike this probability sharply.
AI generated on 3/27/2026
This site displays Polymarket data for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Until close
31
days left
April 29
7d Trend
Yes Prob.
7dnow
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Bloomberg
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Fed Faces Pressure to Tighten Again as Core Inflation Edges Higher Into Spring 2026
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