PROPHETv7
POLY175d left

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

11%
Yes Prob.
No 89%Yes 11%
$772K
24h Volume
$14K
Liquidity
175d left
Until close
39
BUZZ
11%▼ -3% (7日)
2550753/213/233/253/263/28
Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔
AI Generated

01What is this market?

Will the far-right AfD party win the most seats in Berlin's state parliament elections scheduled for September 20, 2026?

02Why is it trending now?

AfD surged nationally in the February 2025 federal election, becoming Germany's second-largest party. Traders are reassessing whether that momentum carries into Berlin's 2026 state vote.

03What does 11% mean?

At 12%, markets say AfD winning Berlin outright is unlikely. Berlin skews left, and CDU or SPD are seen as far more probable frontrunners for the top seat count.

04Price history

Probability has remained low, reflecting Berlin's historically left-leaning electorate resisting AfD's national surge.

05Key takeaways

CDU leads Berlin polling; watch AfD's state-level numbers and coalition dynamics as 2026 approaches.

AI generated on 3/28/2026

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This site displays Polymarket data for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Until close

175
days left
September 20

7d Trend

Yes Prob.
7dnow

Related News

Bloomberg
AfD Surges in Berlin Polls Ahead of 2026 State Election, Challenging Mainstream Parties
Reuters
Germany's AfD Eyes Historic Berlin Win as Voter Frustration With Coalition Grows
Der Spiegel
Far-Right AfD Leading in Berlin State Election Surveys, Alarming City's Political Establishment

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