PROPHETv7
POLY2d left

Netanyahu out by March 31?

1%
Yes Prob.
No 99%Yes 1%
$4.1M
24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
2d left
Until close
100
BUZZ
Probability Trend-1pp (7d)
1%1%1%3/213/233/243/263/28
AI Generated

01What is this market?

Bettors are wagering on whether Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu will leave office for any reason before March 31, 2025.

02Why is it trending now?

With only 4 days left until resolution and ongoing Gaza ceasefire negotiations, Netanyahu's coalition remains intact despite legal pressures from his ongoing corruption trial and internal political tensions.

03What does 1% mean?

At 1%, the market sees his departure as nearly impossible — roughly equivalent to a surprise resignation, coup, or health emergency occurring within days.

04Price history

Probability has remained extremely low throughout, never meaningfully rising above single digits.

05Key takeaways

Netanyahu appears firmly in power. Watch for any sudden coalition collapse or health news in the final 4 days.

AI generated on 3/27/2026

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This site displays Polymarket data for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Until close

2
days left
March 31

7d Trend

Yes Prob.
7dnow

Related News

Reuters
Netanyahu faces mounting pressure as coalition partners threaten to pull support over Gaza ceasefire deal
Bloomberg
Israel's Political Crisis Deepens: Opposition Calls for Early Elections Amid War Cabinet Tensions
BBC
Netanyahu's grip on power wavers as corruption trial resumes and coalition cracks widen

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